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The Schaftlein Report


Feb 2, 2024

Schaftlein Report
Airdate: February 1, 2024
Guest - Tom Amenta
Headline - Trump/Biden Poll Results Changing?  Economy and Immigration are Top Issues
1) Who is correct Morning Consult or Quinnipiac?
1A) Consult has Trump up 45-40 and leading in all 7 swing states. Quinnipiac has Biden up 50-45
1B) Trump appears to be gaining among working class, Black and young voters, Biden gaining women and Independents?
1C) 65% of Voters want someone other than Biden or Trump.  Advertising projected to be $10.2B with half still spent on TV adds.
1D) Manchin seriously considering a run under No Labels.  Kennedy support around 15-18%
1E) In a 5 way race, Trump leads Biden by an average of 5 points. Betting markets have Trump up by 8.
2) By far, the top 2 issues are the Economy and Immigration or lack there of.
3) Homelessness hits a record 653K as rents rise.
4) 65% of Americans having difficulty covering one month of expenses and half can't cover a $1,000 emergency
5) Border Bill faces uncertainty in both chambers - we'll analyze
6) U.S. response to 3 service members killed?
7) Crime out of control and police numbers continue to drop.